When to Call: the +2 Rule
Someone bets. Should you call? Work out two numbers, compare them, done.
The whole thing in 3 steps
Price
Chance
Compare
Step 1 in detail: the price (+2 rule)
Work out how many times the bet fits into the pot. Call that number k.
"One over k plus two"
Half-pot bet
Pot 100, bet 50 → k = 2
1 ÷ (2 + 2) = 1/4 = 25%
Third-pot bet
Pot 90, bet 30 → k = 3
1 ÷ (3 + 2) = 1/5 = 20%
Pot-sized bet
Pot 100, bet 100 → k = 1
1 ÷ (1 + 2) = 1/3 = 33%
Overbet (2× pot)
Pot 100, bet 200 → k = ½
1 ÷ (½ + 2) = 1/2.5 = 40%
For awkward sizes like ⅔ or ¾ pot
If the bet is a/b of the pot, you need a ÷ (b + 2a). It is the same rule, just easier with fractions. For ¾ pot: 3 ÷ (4 + 6) = 3/10 = 30%. For ⅔ pot: 2 ÷ (3 + 4) = 2/7 ≈ 29%.
Cheat sheet
| Bet size | k | Equity needed |
|---|---|---|
| ¼ pot | 4 | 1/6 ≈ 17% |
| ⅓ pot | 3 | 1/5 = 20% |
| ½ pot | 2 | 1/4 = 25% |
| ⅔ pot | 3/2 | 2/7 ≈ 29% |
| ¾ pot | 4/3 | 3/10 = 30% |
| Pot | 1 | 1/3 ≈ 33% |
| 1.5× pot | 2/3 | 3/8 ≈ 38% |
| 2× pot | ½ | 2/5 = 40% |
"Pot" means the pot before this bet. If other players already called in front of you, add their calls to the pot. Bigger bets always need more equity, but never more than 50%.
Step 2 in detail: count your outs
Outs are the cards still in the deck that turn your hand into the winner. Count them, then use the rule of 4 and 2:
One card to come → outs × 2
On the turn, or on the flop when you will only see the turn before more betting.
Two cards to come → outs × 4
On the flop when you are all-in, so you will see both the turn and the river.
The rule slightly overestimates big draws (×4 with 15 outs says 60%, the exact chance is 54%). That is close enough to decide; the trainer below shows the exact number too.
Step 3: more worked hands
Practice: call or fold?
Random spots with real cards. Work out the price and your chance, then decide. Every answer shows the working.
Want more? Open the full-page trainer.
For the curious: why "+2" works
When you call, you put chips in to win everything in the middle. If you would win often enough to pay for all your calls over time, the call is good. If not, it loses chips in the long run.
So the question is: what share of the final pot is my call? That share is the minimum chance of winning you need. It is called your pot odds (or break-even equity).
Example. The pot is 100. Your opponent bets 50. If you call 50, the pot becomes 100 + 50 + 50 = 200.
Your 50 is one quarter of 200, so you need to win at least 25% of the time.
Notice the final pot is the old pot plus two bets: theirs and yours. That is the "+2".